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(April 18, 2016, 06:09:38 pm)
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Are y'all still gonna see this dumpster fire?

I'm seeing it opening night!
1 (25%)
I'll probably see it in theaters... eventually.
1 (25%)
I'll rent it on DVD. Disney has let me down thrice now.
1 (25%)
I'll pirate it. I refuse to give these corporate shills more of my money.
1 (25%)
I refuse to see this film.
0 (0%)

Total Members Voted: 3

Author Topic: Disney's™ Marvel's™ Han Solo™ Solo Standalone Film: A Star™ Wars™ Story  (Read 581 times)

Robert Neville

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This couldn’t even break Justice League numbers on opening weekend

I find a comparison with Rogue One more illuminating - it got around half of its domestic numbers, and less than half of its international ones. It's still tracking for around $550 million worldwide total, though, which, lest we forget,  is below Suicide Squad but above Fury Road and Edge of Tomorrow.

I was going to say that's not literally a flop - not unless they were insane enough to give it a ~200 million budget. From the way it looked, I assumed 150 million - the budget of Fury Road, Edge of Tomorrow, Jurassic World, Mission Impossible: Rogue Nation, etc. Then, though, it turned out Rogue One did cost $200 million, and this thing might have gone up to 250 million after Howard's reshoots. So, yeah, it's basically flopping, and the perennial Scott Mendelsonn agrees.

Despite this being a pretty dismal opening weekend, I think there's a chance to make up some lost ground next weekend, as there isn't really anything new to threaten it, and Solo got a decent A- cinemascore. Not sure what kind of total numbers it would need to be considered a success, though.

If we assume a $250 million budget, then it should have had something around $700 million to be successful. The numbers it's currently tracking for are barely double its budget, which is not enough when given the cinemas' take and the marketing costs. Grossing 2,5 times a film's budget is usually the minimum break-even point (unless it's something enormously acclaimed, like Fury Road, or Edge of Tomorrow, which grossed a bit less, but are still getting sequels); for this, that would likely be $625 million. Making 3X budget is  what usually defines a hit; at $250 million, that's works out to $750 million.


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